(Versi Bahasa Malaysia di akhir artikel ini)
1. The Malaysian Government appears not to be perturbed by what is happening in the world.
2. It appears to be convinced that it can isolate and insulate itself from whatever is happening to the world.
3. It seems to be confident that it will be left untouched.
4. It merely reacts to situations as they arise one by one.
2. It appears to be convinced that it can isolate and insulate itself from whatever is happening to the world.
3. It seems to be confident that it will be left untouched.
4. It merely reacts to situations as they arise one by one.
5. The mainstream media hardly ever mention the turmoil that the world is facing. Certainly no in-depth analysis has been made. Only Malaysian Business has asked whether we are prepared for the worldwide catastrophe that must bring chaos and problems to our economy, finance, politics and social life. The rest seemed blithely unconcerned. Certainly the people are not being prepared for the inevitable.
6. We are admittedly more fortunate than many other countries. When costs are rising and manufactured exports are shrinking, our commodities have come to our aid. Our export earnings from petroleum and gas, palm oil, rubber and tin have increased many times over.
7. The rise in the price of petrol and products has begun to affect our lives, our living standards and our complacency.
8. We produce about 650,000 barrels a day, consume 400,000 and export roughly 250,000 barrels. We used to earn 30 US Dollar per barrel; today we earn 140 US Dollar, almost all profit. Work out the revenue from 250,000 barrels per day for one year.
9. Besides, we produce 900,000 barrels equivalent of gas, mostly exported. There is no need to take notice of the petrol we produce in Sudan and elsewhere, all selling at 100 US Dollar plus.
10. But we also earn more, much more from palm oil. It used to cost us RM600 per ton to produce. It must be slightly more now. But one ton of palm oil used to sell for RM800 before. Now it sells for more than RM3,000. The palm oil plantation companies are laughing all the way to the bank.
11. But the prices of rubber and even tin have also increased tremendously.
12. For the Government it must mean a great increase in revenue. The profits from petroleum accrue 100% to the Government. I believe in 2006 when oil price was about 70 US Dollar Petronas made a profit before tax of 60 billion Ringgit.
13. Whereas the tax on corporate incomes of the manufacturing companies is minimal, corporate tax revenue from companies producing and exporting palm oil, rubber and tin is very high. If we care to look at the profits of companies today many make well over a billion a year, some more than three billion.
14. So the Government should be flushed with money. But companies not involved in the production of raw material cannot be doing so well. Their imported raw materials including oil and components have all increased in price. They have to increase their export and domestic prices but profits may be less.
15. The construction companies have few contracts to share among themselves. The big Government projects have not materialised. The sub-contractors and building material suppliers are not doing well either.
16. The big construction companies have gone abroad. Some are doing quite well but they cannot help Malaysian subcontractors as the local subcontractors are entitled to get the contracts.
17. Malaysian investors are also not investing in the country. They have a good choice for making money investing in such countries as China and Vietnam. They will pay taxes in these countries.
18. In the meantime the world is undergoing a traumatic economic and financial turmoil. It began with the devaluation of the US Dollar. I do not know how much US Dollar bonds are held by Malaysia. I remember telling the Governor of Bank Negara to reduce our dollar holdings before I stepped down. I hope she has done so. Otherwise we would lose 80 Malaysian sen for every US Dollar we hold. When we hold 30 or 40 billion US Dollar the loss can be considerable.
19. We may make some money from the other currencies which have appreciated against our Ringgit.
20. The US Dollar is going to go down further due to unwise playing around with money. Sub-prime lending was considered profitable before but now the market has collapsed. The loan papers had been readily bought by institutions but now the papers are worthless because no one wants to buy them. And the borrowers are not paying simply because they have no money.
21. The US which condemned us so righteously for bailing out companies now approves massive bailouts by Institutions and the Federal Reserve Bank. These are not small amounts. They are talking about US200 - US400 billion dollars.
22. Bear Stearns sale is a classic case but other banks are faring no better. They will have to sell at fire-sale prices like the banks of Southeast Asia had to do after currency traders bankrupted these banks. A taste of their own medicine should have a salutary effect on the arrogance of the big money people, and their countries.
23. The financial problems of the United States have spilled over to the European countries. They too had been involved in sub-prime lending, either directly or indirectly.
24. The US dollar is going to shrink further as countries unload their dollar holdings, refuse to buy US Dollar bonds, and use other currencies for trading. Oil producers may demand to be paid in their own currencies. The international financial regime will then collapse.
25. The US Dollar is not backed by anything. It sustains its value because it is used as a trading currency. When countries start using other currencies for trading and quickly dispose off the US Dollar in favour of Euro or Yen; when the US Dollar is no longer used for the reserves of the rich countries, then the US Dollar will not be worth the paper on which it is printed.
26. The United States already suffers from twin deficits. When the dollar becomes useless the United States will go into deep recession. Printing more money by the Federal Reserve Bank (which incidentally is not owned by the Government but by other banks) will only result in its devaluation and inflation in the United States.
27. The United States must surely go into severe recession (I am sure the United States will do something illegal in order to prevent this from happening). But whatever, United States recession will affect the whole world.
28. Unprecedentedly the world is experiencing food shortages, something which it had not seen for decades.
29. I will not say anything about the world as everyone knows and I know I am not an economist or a financial expert. But I will try and guess what would happen to Malaysia.
30. Twenty percent of our export goes to the United States. Obviously this market would not be able to absorb what we have to sell to them. We will not lose all but quite a substantial sum will be lost.
31. The economies of the developed countries will also suffer, maybe less than the United States. But our export to them would shrink also.
32. With the money form our petroleum export and revenue from other raw materials we had been able to subsidise for some time. But the prices of fuel and other goods will all increase far beyond the percentage of the increase in oil prices after the subsidy was withdrawn. This is aggravated by the actual increase in prices of foodstuff and food grains, building materials, and assorted imported goods. Even the items produced within the country will increase in price because of imported contents.
33. But the Government is still talking about 5%-7% inflation. This is quite meaningless to lower and middle-income people who must pay 40% more for petrol and 100% more for rice. Other necessities too have increased in price by well over 5%-7%. Stopping price control in the belief that the market will determine prices is imprudent.
34. One of the reasons why Malaysia's inflation rates had remained low compared to other developing countries and even some developed countries is the control over prices of essential goods. Without control there will always be profiteering. And profiteering will result in a high rate of inflation.
35. Today wage earners in particular are suffering. Wages have not increased to compensate for increased cost of living. While chasing prices with increases in wages can cause a wage/price spiral, but judicious increases to cushion off the rising costs would reduce the impact of inflation on the lower income people.
36. Malaysia must give up the idea of competing on the basis of low cost labour. Against China, Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia we just cannot win. We must provide other elements attractive to investors.
37. Confidence in the consistency of Government policies and political stability would be among the factors attractive to business. There can be a lot of other things that can be provided to offset the rise in wages. After all we must remember that many developed countries have very high wages. Even if we double the salaries and wages paid in Malaysia we would still be far lower than wages in developed countries.
38. We had planned to go hi-tech in order to increase income. But there is not much moving in the implementation of this policy. Instead we want to be an agricultural country again. Planting food crops on the side tables of roads may increase food production but it will not help fight inflation on the scale needed for overcoming the turmoil in the world.
MALAYSIA DAN DUNIA YANG TIDAK MENENTU
1. Kerajaan Malaysia nampak seolah-olah tidak risau dengan keadaan dunia yang tidak menentu.
2. Kerajaan nampak begitu yakin bahawa ia dapat mengasingkan dan mempertahankan negara daripada apa sahaja kejadian yang berlaku di dunia.
3. Kerajaan nampak yakin yang negara tidak akan merasai apa-apa kesan.
4. Kerajaan hanya bertindak terhadap apa jua situasi yang bangkit berasingan dan satu persatu.
5. Media arus perdana tidak menyentuh kekusutan yang dihadapi dunia. Jauh sekali analisa yang mendalam dibuat. Hanya Malaysian Business pernah bertanya apakah kita bersedia menghadapi kekucaran yang sudah tentu akan membawa kerosakan dan masalah kepada ekonomi, kewangan politik dan kehidupan sosial kita. Yang lain-lain nampaknya tidak sikitpun merasa khuatir. Jelas sekali rakyat tidak disediakan untuk menghadapi apa-apa kemungkinan.
6. Benarlah nasib kita jauh lebih baik berbanding banyak lagi negara lain. Apabila kos meningkat dan eksport barang buatan merosot, komoditi kita menyelamatkan kita. Pendapatan daripada eksport daripada petroliam dan gas, minyak kelapa sawit, getah dan timah telah jauh meningkat.
6. Kenaikan harga petrol dan barangan telah membawa kesan kepada kehidupan kita dan taraf hidup kita.
7. Kita keluarkan lebih kurang 650,000 tong (minyak mentah) sehari, menggunapakai 400,000 dan eksport lebih kurang 250,000 tong. Dulu kita menjual pada kadar 30 Dollar Amerika satu tong; hari ini kita memperoleh 140 Dollar Amerika, hampir semuanya keuntungan. Cubalah kira perolehan daripada 250,000 tong sehari untuk setahun.
8. Selain itu kita juga keluarkan gas bersamaan 900,000 tong yang kebanyakannya di eksport. Tak perlu kita ambil kira minyak yang dikeluarkan di Sudan dan lain-lain tempat yang dijual pada kadar lebih 100 Dollar Amerika.
9. Tetapi kita juga memperoleh pulangan yang lebih banyak daripada minyak kelapa sawit. Dulu kos pengeluaran RM600 setiap tan. Mungkin ianya telah naik sedikit. Tetapi satu tan minyak kelapa sawit dulu dijual dengan harga RM800. Sekarang ianya dijual lebih RM3,000. Sudah tentu syarikat-syarikat perladangan membuat duit yang banyak. Mereka ketawa besar meluru ke bank.
10. Tetapi harga getah dan bijih timah juga telah naik mendadak.
11. Bagi Kerajaan ianya bermakna kenaikan pendapatan cukai yang tinggi. Keuntungan daripada petroleum adalah 100% hak Kerajaan. Pada tahun 2006 apabila harga minyak sekitar 70 Dollar Amerika keuntungan sebelum cukai Petronas berjumlah 60 billion Ringgit.
12. Walaupun cukai pendapatan korporat syarikat pembuatan adalah minimal, pendapatan cukai korporat daripada syarikat-syarikat pengeluar dan pengeksport minyak kelapa sawit, getah dan timah amat tinggi. Jika kita lihat keuntungan syarikat-syarikat hari ini, banyak yang mencatat lebih satu bilion setahun, sesetengah mencecah lebih tiga bilion.
13. Oleh itu Kerajaan seharusnya mempunyai banyak wang. Tetapi syarikat-syarikat yang tidak terlibat dalam pengeluaran bahan mentah tidak mungkin begitu berjaya. Bahan mentah yang diimport termasuk minyak dan komponen kesemuanya mengalami peningkatan harga. Mereka terpaksa menaikkan harga export serta harga dalam negeri tetapi keuntungan mungkin kurang.
14. Syarikat-syarikat pembinaan terpaksa berkongsi hanya beberapa kontrak di antara mereka. Projek-projek besar Kerajaan tidak berjalan. Sub-kontraktor dan pembekal bahan binaan juga tidak begitu maju.
15. Syarikat-syarikat pembinaan yang besar telah berhijrah ke luar negara. Sesetengahnya berjaya tetapi mereka tidak boleh membantu sub-kontraktor Malaysia kerana sub-kontraktor tempatan lebih layak mendapat kontrak.
16. Pelabur Malaysia juga tidak melabur dalam negara. Mereka punyai pilihan baik untuk mengaut untung dengan melabur di negara-negara seperti China dan Vietnam. Mereka akan bayar cukai di negara-negara ini.
17. Sementara itu dunia sedang berhadapan kelembapan ekonomi dan kewangan. Ianya bermula dengan penyusutan nilai Dollar Amerika. Saya tidak tahu berapa banyak bon Dollar Amerika yang dipegang Malaysia. Saya ingat yang saya telah memberitahu Gabenor Bank Negara supaya dikurangkan pegangan Dolar Amerika sebelum saya bersara. Saya harap dianya telah berbuat demikian. Jika tidak kita akan kerugian 80 sen Malaysia untuk setiap satu Dollar Amerika yang kita pegang. Dan apabila kita pegang 30 atau 40 billion Dollar Amerika kerugian boleh jadi agak besar.
18. Kita mungkin akan dapat keuntungan daripada pegangan matawang lain yang telah meningkat berbanding Ringgit.
19. Dollar Amerika akan susut lagi disebabkan tindakan dan permainan wang yang tidak sihat. Pinjaman sub-prima dulu dianggap menguntungkan tetapi sekarang ini penjualan kertas pinjaman sudah jatuh. Kertas pinjaman yang biasanya dibeli institusi-institusi kini tidak lagi berharga kerana tidak ada pihak yang ingin beli. Dan peminjam tidak dapat bayar kerana mereka tidak ada duit.
20. Amerika Syarikat yang dahulunya mengutuk kita kerana menyelamatkan syarikat-syarikat kita sekarang ini membenarkan "bail-out" secara besar-besaran oleh Institusi dan Bank Simpanan Persekutuan yang melibatkan jumlah di antara US200 bilion hingga US400 billion.
21. Penjualan Bear Stearns menakjubkan, tetapi bank-bank lain juga tidak punyai prestasi yang baik. Mereka akan terpaksa jual lelong sebagaimana bank-bank di Asia Tenggara terpaksa dijual setelah dibankrapkan penyangak matawang. Meludah ke langit terkena muka sendiri! Seharusnya ini memberi kesan kepada orang kaya dan negara-negara kaya yang bongkak.
22. Masalah kewangan Amerika Syarikat telah melimpah ke Eropah. Mereka juga terlibat dalam pinjaman sub-prima, secara langsung atau tidak langsung.
23. Dolar Amerika akan susut lagi apabila negara-negara lain menjual simpanan Dolar mereka, menolak pembelian bon Dolar Amerika dan menggunakan matawang lain bagi urusan perdagangan. Pengeluar minyak mungkin akan menuntut dibayar dalam matawang mereka sendiri. Ini akan menyebabkan rejim kewangan antarabangsa lumpuh.
24. Dollar Amerika tidak disokong oleh apa-apa. Ia mempunyai nilai hanya kerana ianya digunakan sebagai matawang dagangan. Apabila negara-negara menggunakan matawang lain bagi urusan dagangan dan melepaskan pegangan Dollar Amerika dan diganti dengan Euro atau Yen; apabila Dollar Amerika tidak lagi digunakan sebagai matawang simpanan negara-negara kaya, maka Dolar Amerika tidak akan bernilai sama sekali.
25. Amerika Syarikat kini menghadapi defisit berkembar. Apabila Dollar tidak lagi bernilai Amerika Syarikat akan menghadapi kemelesetan ekonomi. Percetakan berlebihan duit oleh Bank Simpanan Persekutuan (yang tidakpun dimiliki oleh Kerajaan tetapi oleh Bank-bank lain) hanya akan menyebabkan penyusutan nilai serta inflasi di Amerika Syarikat.
26. Amerika Syarikat akan alami kemelesetan ekonomi yang teruk (Saya pasti yang Amerika Syarikat akan lakukan sesuatu yang menyalahi aturan peraturan untuk mengelak daripada ini berlaku). Apapun, kemelesetan ekonomi Amerika Syarikat akan dirasai seluruh dunia.
27. Satu lagi yang tidak pernah berlaku untuk jangkamasa yang amat lama ialah dunia sedang mengalami kekurangan makanan.
28. Saya tidak akan berkata apa-apa tentang dunia kerana semua orang tahu dan saya juga tahu yang saya ini bukanlah pakar ekonomi atau kewangan. Tetapi saya akan cuba teka apa yang akan terjadi kepada Malaysia.
29. Dua puluh empat peratus eksport negara kita adalah ke Amerika Syarikat. Sudah tentu pasaran ini tidak mungkin dapat menerima semua yang kita hendak jual kepada mereka. Kita tidak akan kehilangan semua tetapi kita akan kehilangan jumlah yang agak besar.
30. Ekonomi negara-negara maju juga akan turut alami kemelesetan, mungkin kurang daripada Amerika Syarikat. Tetapi eksport kepada mereka juga akan susut.
31. Dengan sumber kewangan daripada eksport minyak dan pendapatan daripada lain-lain bahan mentah kita telah berjaya mengekalkan subsidi untuk seberapa lama. Tetapi harga bahan api dan barangan lain akan meningkat jauh lebih tinggi daripada peratusan kenaikan harga minyak selepas ditarik balik subsidi. Ini akan menjadi lebih teruk dengan kenaikan harga barang makanan, bijirin, bahan binaan dan pelbagai barangan import lain. Begitu juga dengan harga barangan buatan tempatan yang akan meningkat kerana mengandungi bahan-bahan yang diimport.
31. Tetapi Kerajaan masih lagi bercakap tentang kadar inflasi 5%-7%. Ini tidak membawa apa-apa makna kepada golongan yang berpendapatan rendah dan sederhana yang terpaksa bayar 40% lebih tinggi untuk minyak dan 100% lebih tinggi untuk beras. Harga lain-lain keperluan juga telah meningkat lebih 5%-7%. Menghentikan kawalan harga kerana percaya yang pasaran akan menentukan harga adalah tidak bijak.
32. Salah satu sebab kenapa kadar inflasi Malaysia kekal rendah berbanding lain-lain negara membangun dan sesetengah negara maju ialah kerana kawalan harga ke atas barangan keperluan. Tanpa kawalan harga akan terdapat pengambilan untung yang berlebihan. Dan pengambilan untung berlebihan akan menyebabkan kadar inflasi naik tinggi.
33. Hari ini mereka yang makan gaji terutamanya terpaksa tanggung beban. Gaji tidak bertambah untuk mengimbang kenaikan kos sara hidup. Mengejar harga barang dengan menaikkan gaji akan menghasilkan peningkatan inflasi yang teruk, tetapi kenaikan yang beransur-ansur untuk mengimbang peningkatan kos akan mengurangkan kesan inflasi ke atas rakyat berpendapatan rendah.
34. Malaysia tidak boleh bertanding di atas landasan harga tenaga kerja yang rendah. Kita tidak boleh bersaing dengan China, Vietnam, Thailand dan Indonesia. Kita mesti sediakan elemen-elemen lain untuk menarik pelabur.
35. Keyakinan dengan polisi Kerajaan yang tidak bertukar-tukar dan kestabilan politik adalah antara faktor yang menarik pelaburan. Ada banyak lagi yang boleh ditawar untuk mengimbang kenaikan kadar gaji. Kita mesti ingat yang banyak negara maju mempunyai kadar gaji yang amat tinggi. Jika kita gandakan gaji dan upah di Malaysia, ianya masih lagi jauh lebih rendah berbanding negara maju.
36. Kita telah merancang untuk menuju ke arah teknologi tinggi untuk meningkatkan pendapatan. Tetapi tidak banyak yang berubah di dalam mengimplimentasikan polisi ini. Malahan kita ingin berbalik kepada negara pertanian. Bercucuk tanam di tepi jalan mungkin akan tingkatkan pengeluaran makanan tetapi tidak akan membantu memerangi inflasi pada kadar yang kita perlukan untuk menangani kecelaruan di dunia.
6. We are admittedly more fortunate than many other countries. When costs are rising and manufactured exports are shrinking, our commodities have come to our aid. Our export earnings from petroleum and gas, palm oil, rubber and tin have increased many times over.
7. The rise in the price of petrol and products has begun to affect our lives, our living standards and our complacency.
8. We produce about 650,000 barrels a day, consume 400,000 and export roughly 250,000 barrels. We used to earn 30 US Dollar per barrel; today we earn 140 US Dollar, almost all profit. Work out the revenue from 250,000 barrels per day for one year.
9. Besides, we produce 900,000 barrels equivalent of gas, mostly exported. There is no need to take notice of the petrol we produce in Sudan and elsewhere, all selling at 100 US Dollar plus.
10. But we also earn more, much more from palm oil. It used to cost us RM600 per ton to produce. It must be slightly more now. But one ton of palm oil used to sell for RM800 before. Now it sells for more than RM3,000. The palm oil plantation companies are laughing all the way to the bank.
11. But the prices of rubber and even tin have also increased tremendously.
12. For the Government it must mean a great increase in revenue. The profits from petroleum accrue 100% to the Government. I believe in 2006 when oil price was about 70 US Dollar Petronas made a profit before tax of 60 billion Ringgit.
13. Whereas the tax on corporate incomes of the manufacturing companies is minimal, corporate tax revenue from companies producing and exporting palm oil, rubber and tin is very high. If we care to look at the profits of companies today many make well over a billion a year, some more than three billion.
14. So the Government should be flushed with money. But companies not involved in the production of raw material cannot be doing so well. Their imported raw materials including oil and components have all increased in price. They have to increase their export and domestic prices but profits may be less.
15. The construction companies have few contracts to share among themselves. The big Government projects have not materialised. The sub-contractors and building material suppliers are not doing well either.
16. The big construction companies have gone abroad. Some are doing quite well but they cannot help Malaysian subcontractors as the local subcontractors are entitled to get the contracts.
17. Malaysian investors are also not investing in the country. They have a good choice for making money investing in such countries as China and Vietnam. They will pay taxes in these countries.
18. In the meantime the world is undergoing a traumatic economic and financial turmoil. It began with the devaluation of the US Dollar. I do not know how much US Dollar bonds are held by Malaysia. I remember telling the Governor of Bank Negara to reduce our dollar holdings before I stepped down. I hope she has done so. Otherwise we would lose 80 Malaysian sen for every US Dollar we hold. When we hold 30 or 40 billion US Dollar the loss can be considerable.
19. We may make some money from the other currencies which have appreciated against our Ringgit.
20. The US Dollar is going to go down further due to unwise playing around with money. Sub-prime lending was considered profitable before but now the market has collapsed. The loan papers had been readily bought by institutions but now the papers are worthless because no one wants to buy them. And the borrowers are not paying simply because they have no money.
21. The US which condemned us so righteously for bailing out companies now approves massive bailouts by Institutions and the Federal Reserve Bank. These are not small amounts. They are talking about US200 - US400 billion dollars.
22. Bear Stearns sale is a classic case but other banks are faring no better. They will have to sell at fire-sale prices like the banks of Southeast Asia had to do after currency traders bankrupted these banks. A taste of their own medicine should have a salutary effect on the arrogance of the big money people, and their countries.
23. The financial problems of the United States have spilled over to the European countries. They too had been involved in sub-prime lending, either directly or indirectly.
24. The US dollar is going to shrink further as countries unload their dollar holdings, refuse to buy US Dollar bonds, and use other currencies for trading. Oil producers may demand to be paid in their own currencies. The international financial regime will then collapse.
25. The US Dollar is not backed by anything. It sustains its value because it is used as a trading currency. When countries start using other currencies for trading and quickly dispose off the US Dollar in favour of Euro or Yen; when the US Dollar is no longer used for the reserves of the rich countries, then the US Dollar will not be worth the paper on which it is printed.
26. The United States already suffers from twin deficits. When the dollar becomes useless the United States will go into deep recession. Printing more money by the Federal Reserve Bank (which incidentally is not owned by the Government but by other banks) will only result in its devaluation and inflation in the United States.
27. The United States must surely go into severe recession (I am sure the United States will do something illegal in order to prevent this from happening). But whatever, United States recession will affect the whole world.
28. Unprecedentedly the world is experiencing food shortages, something which it had not seen for decades.
29. I will not say anything about the world as everyone knows and I know I am not an economist or a financial expert. But I will try and guess what would happen to Malaysia.
30. Twenty percent of our export goes to the United States. Obviously this market would not be able to absorb what we have to sell to them. We will not lose all but quite a substantial sum will be lost.
31. The economies of the developed countries will also suffer, maybe less than the United States. But our export to them would shrink also.
32. With the money form our petroleum export and revenue from other raw materials we had been able to subsidise for some time. But the prices of fuel and other goods will all increase far beyond the percentage of the increase in oil prices after the subsidy was withdrawn. This is aggravated by the actual increase in prices of foodstuff and food grains, building materials, and assorted imported goods. Even the items produced within the country will increase in price because of imported contents.
33. But the Government is still talking about 5%-7% inflation. This is quite meaningless to lower and middle-income people who must pay 40% more for petrol and 100% more for rice. Other necessities too have increased in price by well over 5%-7%. Stopping price control in the belief that the market will determine prices is imprudent.
34. One of the reasons why Malaysia's inflation rates had remained low compared to other developing countries and even some developed countries is the control over prices of essential goods. Without control there will always be profiteering. And profiteering will result in a high rate of inflation.
35. Today wage earners in particular are suffering. Wages have not increased to compensate for increased cost of living. While chasing prices with increases in wages can cause a wage/price spiral, but judicious increases to cushion off the rising costs would reduce the impact of inflation on the lower income people.
36. Malaysia must give up the idea of competing on the basis of low cost labour. Against China, Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia we just cannot win. We must provide other elements attractive to investors.
37. Confidence in the consistency of Government policies and political stability would be among the factors attractive to business. There can be a lot of other things that can be provided to offset the rise in wages. After all we must remember that many developed countries have very high wages. Even if we double the salaries and wages paid in Malaysia we would still be far lower than wages in developed countries.
38. We had planned to go hi-tech in order to increase income. But there is not much moving in the implementation of this policy. Instead we want to be an agricultural country again. Planting food crops on the side tables of roads may increase food production but it will not help fight inflation on the scale needed for overcoming the turmoil in the world.
****
MALAYSIA DAN DUNIA YANG TIDAK MENENTU
1. Kerajaan Malaysia nampak seolah-olah tidak risau dengan keadaan dunia yang tidak menentu.
2. Kerajaan nampak begitu yakin bahawa ia dapat mengasingkan dan mempertahankan negara daripada apa sahaja kejadian yang berlaku di dunia.
3. Kerajaan nampak yakin yang negara tidak akan merasai apa-apa kesan.
4. Kerajaan hanya bertindak terhadap apa jua situasi yang bangkit berasingan dan satu persatu.
5. Media arus perdana tidak menyentuh kekusutan yang dihadapi dunia. Jauh sekali analisa yang mendalam dibuat. Hanya Malaysian Business pernah bertanya apakah kita bersedia menghadapi kekucaran yang sudah tentu akan membawa kerosakan dan masalah kepada ekonomi, kewangan politik dan kehidupan sosial kita. Yang lain-lain nampaknya tidak sikitpun merasa khuatir. Jelas sekali rakyat tidak disediakan untuk menghadapi apa-apa kemungkinan.
6. Benarlah nasib kita jauh lebih baik berbanding banyak lagi negara lain. Apabila kos meningkat dan eksport barang buatan merosot, komoditi kita menyelamatkan kita. Pendapatan daripada eksport daripada petroliam dan gas, minyak kelapa sawit, getah dan timah telah jauh meningkat.
6. Kenaikan harga petrol dan barangan telah membawa kesan kepada kehidupan kita dan taraf hidup kita.
7. Kita keluarkan lebih kurang 650,000 tong (minyak mentah) sehari, menggunapakai 400,000 dan eksport lebih kurang 250,000 tong. Dulu kita menjual pada kadar 30 Dollar Amerika satu tong; hari ini kita memperoleh 140 Dollar Amerika, hampir semuanya keuntungan. Cubalah kira perolehan daripada 250,000 tong sehari untuk setahun.
8. Selain itu kita juga keluarkan gas bersamaan 900,000 tong yang kebanyakannya di eksport. Tak perlu kita ambil kira minyak yang dikeluarkan di Sudan dan lain-lain tempat yang dijual pada kadar lebih 100 Dollar Amerika.
9. Tetapi kita juga memperoleh pulangan yang lebih banyak daripada minyak kelapa sawit. Dulu kos pengeluaran RM600 setiap tan. Mungkin ianya telah naik sedikit. Tetapi satu tan minyak kelapa sawit dulu dijual dengan harga RM800. Sekarang ianya dijual lebih RM3,000. Sudah tentu syarikat-syarikat perladangan membuat duit yang banyak. Mereka ketawa besar meluru ke bank.
10. Tetapi harga getah dan bijih timah juga telah naik mendadak.
11. Bagi Kerajaan ianya bermakna kenaikan pendapatan cukai yang tinggi. Keuntungan daripada petroleum adalah 100% hak Kerajaan. Pada tahun 2006 apabila harga minyak sekitar 70 Dollar Amerika keuntungan sebelum cukai Petronas berjumlah 60 billion Ringgit.
12. Walaupun cukai pendapatan korporat syarikat pembuatan adalah minimal, pendapatan cukai korporat daripada syarikat-syarikat pengeluar dan pengeksport minyak kelapa sawit, getah dan timah amat tinggi. Jika kita lihat keuntungan syarikat-syarikat hari ini, banyak yang mencatat lebih satu bilion setahun, sesetengah mencecah lebih tiga bilion.
13. Oleh itu Kerajaan seharusnya mempunyai banyak wang. Tetapi syarikat-syarikat yang tidak terlibat dalam pengeluaran bahan mentah tidak mungkin begitu berjaya. Bahan mentah yang diimport termasuk minyak dan komponen kesemuanya mengalami peningkatan harga. Mereka terpaksa menaikkan harga export serta harga dalam negeri tetapi keuntungan mungkin kurang.
14. Syarikat-syarikat pembinaan terpaksa berkongsi hanya beberapa kontrak di antara mereka. Projek-projek besar Kerajaan tidak berjalan. Sub-kontraktor dan pembekal bahan binaan juga tidak begitu maju.
15. Syarikat-syarikat pembinaan yang besar telah berhijrah ke luar negara. Sesetengahnya berjaya tetapi mereka tidak boleh membantu sub-kontraktor Malaysia kerana sub-kontraktor tempatan lebih layak mendapat kontrak.
16. Pelabur Malaysia juga tidak melabur dalam negara. Mereka punyai pilihan baik untuk mengaut untung dengan melabur di negara-negara seperti China dan Vietnam. Mereka akan bayar cukai di negara-negara ini.
17. Sementara itu dunia sedang berhadapan kelembapan ekonomi dan kewangan. Ianya bermula dengan penyusutan nilai Dollar Amerika. Saya tidak tahu berapa banyak bon Dollar Amerika yang dipegang Malaysia. Saya ingat yang saya telah memberitahu Gabenor Bank Negara supaya dikurangkan pegangan Dolar Amerika sebelum saya bersara. Saya harap dianya telah berbuat demikian. Jika tidak kita akan kerugian 80 sen Malaysia untuk setiap satu Dollar Amerika yang kita pegang. Dan apabila kita pegang 30 atau 40 billion Dollar Amerika kerugian boleh jadi agak besar.
18. Kita mungkin akan dapat keuntungan daripada pegangan matawang lain yang telah meningkat berbanding Ringgit.
19. Dollar Amerika akan susut lagi disebabkan tindakan dan permainan wang yang tidak sihat. Pinjaman sub-prima dulu dianggap menguntungkan tetapi sekarang ini penjualan kertas pinjaman sudah jatuh. Kertas pinjaman yang biasanya dibeli institusi-institusi kini tidak lagi berharga kerana tidak ada pihak yang ingin beli. Dan peminjam tidak dapat bayar kerana mereka tidak ada duit.
20. Amerika Syarikat yang dahulunya mengutuk kita kerana menyelamatkan syarikat-syarikat kita sekarang ini membenarkan "bail-out" secara besar-besaran oleh Institusi dan Bank Simpanan Persekutuan yang melibatkan jumlah di antara US200 bilion hingga US400 billion.
21. Penjualan Bear Stearns menakjubkan, tetapi bank-bank lain juga tidak punyai prestasi yang baik. Mereka akan terpaksa jual lelong sebagaimana bank-bank di Asia Tenggara terpaksa dijual setelah dibankrapkan penyangak matawang. Meludah ke langit terkena muka sendiri! Seharusnya ini memberi kesan kepada orang kaya dan negara-negara kaya yang bongkak.
22. Masalah kewangan Amerika Syarikat telah melimpah ke Eropah. Mereka juga terlibat dalam pinjaman sub-prima, secara langsung atau tidak langsung.
23. Dolar Amerika akan susut lagi apabila negara-negara lain menjual simpanan Dolar mereka, menolak pembelian bon Dolar Amerika dan menggunakan matawang lain bagi urusan perdagangan. Pengeluar minyak mungkin akan menuntut dibayar dalam matawang mereka sendiri. Ini akan menyebabkan rejim kewangan antarabangsa lumpuh.
24. Dollar Amerika tidak disokong oleh apa-apa. Ia mempunyai nilai hanya kerana ianya digunakan sebagai matawang dagangan. Apabila negara-negara menggunakan matawang lain bagi urusan dagangan dan melepaskan pegangan Dollar Amerika dan diganti dengan Euro atau Yen; apabila Dollar Amerika tidak lagi digunakan sebagai matawang simpanan negara-negara kaya, maka Dolar Amerika tidak akan bernilai sama sekali.
25. Amerika Syarikat kini menghadapi defisit berkembar. Apabila Dollar tidak lagi bernilai Amerika Syarikat akan menghadapi kemelesetan ekonomi. Percetakan berlebihan duit oleh Bank Simpanan Persekutuan (yang tidakpun dimiliki oleh Kerajaan tetapi oleh Bank-bank lain) hanya akan menyebabkan penyusutan nilai serta inflasi di Amerika Syarikat.
26. Amerika Syarikat akan alami kemelesetan ekonomi yang teruk (Saya pasti yang Amerika Syarikat akan lakukan sesuatu yang menyalahi aturan peraturan untuk mengelak daripada ini berlaku). Apapun, kemelesetan ekonomi Amerika Syarikat akan dirasai seluruh dunia.
27. Satu lagi yang tidak pernah berlaku untuk jangkamasa yang amat lama ialah dunia sedang mengalami kekurangan makanan.
28. Saya tidak akan berkata apa-apa tentang dunia kerana semua orang tahu dan saya juga tahu yang saya ini bukanlah pakar ekonomi atau kewangan. Tetapi saya akan cuba teka apa yang akan terjadi kepada Malaysia.
29. Dua puluh empat peratus eksport negara kita adalah ke Amerika Syarikat. Sudah tentu pasaran ini tidak mungkin dapat menerima semua yang kita hendak jual kepada mereka. Kita tidak akan kehilangan semua tetapi kita akan kehilangan jumlah yang agak besar.
30. Ekonomi negara-negara maju juga akan turut alami kemelesetan, mungkin kurang daripada Amerika Syarikat. Tetapi eksport kepada mereka juga akan susut.
31. Dengan sumber kewangan daripada eksport minyak dan pendapatan daripada lain-lain bahan mentah kita telah berjaya mengekalkan subsidi untuk seberapa lama. Tetapi harga bahan api dan barangan lain akan meningkat jauh lebih tinggi daripada peratusan kenaikan harga minyak selepas ditarik balik subsidi. Ini akan menjadi lebih teruk dengan kenaikan harga barang makanan, bijirin, bahan binaan dan pelbagai barangan import lain. Begitu juga dengan harga barangan buatan tempatan yang akan meningkat kerana mengandungi bahan-bahan yang diimport.
31. Tetapi Kerajaan masih lagi bercakap tentang kadar inflasi 5%-7%. Ini tidak membawa apa-apa makna kepada golongan yang berpendapatan rendah dan sederhana yang terpaksa bayar 40% lebih tinggi untuk minyak dan 100% lebih tinggi untuk beras. Harga lain-lain keperluan juga telah meningkat lebih 5%-7%. Menghentikan kawalan harga kerana percaya yang pasaran akan menentukan harga adalah tidak bijak.
32. Salah satu sebab kenapa kadar inflasi Malaysia kekal rendah berbanding lain-lain negara membangun dan sesetengah negara maju ialah kerana kawalan harga ke atas barangan keperluan. Tanpa kawalan harga akan terdapat pengambilan untung yang berlebihan. Dan pengambilan untung berlebihan akan menyebabkan kadar inflasi naik tinggi.
33. Hari ini mereka yang makan gaji terutamanya terpaksa tanggung beban. Gaji tidak bertambah untuk mengimbang kenaikan kos sara hidup. Mengejar harga barang dengan menaikkan gaji akan menghasilkan peningkatan inflasi yang teruk, tetapi kenaikan yang beransur-ansur untuk mengimbang peningkatan kos akan mengurangkan kesan inflasi ke atas rakyat berpendapatan rendah.
34. Malaysia tidak boleh bertanding di atas landasan harga tenaga kerja yang rendah. Kita tidak boleh bersaing dengan China, Vietnam, Thailand dan Indonesia. Kita mesti sediakan elemen-elemen lain untuk menarik pelabur.
35. Keyakinan dengan polisi Kerajaan yang tidak bertukar-tukar dan kestabilan politik adalah antara faktor yang menarik pelaburan. Ada banyak lagi yang boleh ditawar untuk mengimbang kenaikan kadar gaji. Kita mesti ingat yang banyak negara maju mempunyai kadar gaji yang amat tinggi. Jika kita gandakan gaji dan upah di Malaysia, ianya masih lagi jauh lebih rendah berbanding negara maju.
36. Kita telah merancang untuk menuju ke arah teknologi tinggi untuk meningkatkan pendapatan. Tetapi tidak banyak yang berubah di dalam mengimplimentasikan polisi ini. Malahan kita ingin berbalik kepada negara pertanian. Bercucuk tanam di tepi jalan mungkin akan tingkatkan pengeluaran makanan tetapi tidak akan membantu memerangi inflasi pada kadar yang kita perlukan untuk menangani kecelaruan di dunia.
Excellent analysis Sir!
Badawi's VISION is for us to return to pre-historic days ... everyone must change their lifestyle and run around with just a handkerchief covering their loins.
Dear TUN
Thanks for all the info you have provided, I just hope our present government would wake up and smell the roses and take heed of what you have said, as we can all see with clarity, our country the term we should use is going to the dogs.
Take care TUN and looking forward to your daily post ...
Chris
Berminat menjadi ahli Kelab chedet.com Malaysia?
Email ke syhassan65@gmail.com
Salam Tun...
Thanks for an excellent analysis Tun!
Kenapa PAK LAHap tiada pemikiran sehebat Tun..
We all need you Tun...
May Allah bless u always..
Tun,
Our country is moving backward in this globalisation world. Does our leaders have any forward thinking? Sad to see our country being left behind under current goverment.
http://sembang-kopitiam.blogspot.com
Tun,
Teruskan gigih untuk kami, rakyat Malaysia!
Semoga Tun Sihat senantiasa.
Assalamualaikum Tun
Just wondering whether the current premier thinks as you are
anyway, very good points and discussion
wslm
hml
Excellent analysis Sir. How we all wish you are still our PM.
We are begging to the current administration to at least be in a good term with you so that you can advise the government on how to manage the country. Our country is lost now. I'm really scared. Many share the same sentiment. Someone please step up to govern the country. Enough of politiking. The people are really fed-up with the politicians who are now really makan gaji buta. Please work for the people. Think of how to manage this country. Even a retiree like Tun M could come-up with such a brilliant ideas and analysis. Where is our government?
Assalamualaikum Tun,
Saya rasa kerajaan sepatutnya tidak GIVE-UP untuk menjadikan Tun sebagai penasihat. Mereka tidak sepatutnya mengatakan 'Kita dah offer dah, tapi Tun yang tak mau..' Mereka takut Tun overshadow Pak Lah le tu. La ni, rakyat yang sokong Pak Lah pun rasa susah jugak, alangkah bodohnya. Esok anak cucu mereka juga yang susah.Hairan mengapa pada zaman Tun memerintah, ada negara yang ingin menjadikan Tun sebagai President mereka, tetapi di negara kita sendiri Tun ibarat dilupakan. Bukan tak tahu menilai intan dan permata, tapi saja bodoh sombong.
Jaga kesihatan Tun baik-baik, jangan makan roti canai banyak sgt...
Salam Tun,
Tidak kah pemimpin yang ada sekarang ni berfikiran seperti Tun?..berpandangan jauh, tidak hanya mengikut laporan orang lain, dan sentiasa bersedia dengan apa yang bakal berlaku...???
Semoga Tun Sentiasa Sihat Wal Afiat..
akum,...
jasa tun amat banyak untuk negara kita ini,...
terima kasih tun.
Hi hi hi hi
"BADAWI HADARI" BERMAKSUD ORG JAHILLIAH YG HIDUP BERPINDAH RANDAH DI SEMENANJUNG TANAH ARAB-SELAK TAMADUN ISLAM BAB 4-IQRA!!!!, Islam dibawa RASUL S.A.W telah dijamin ALLAH S.A.W mengikut zaman, tak payah nak moderate2nyer. Menantu Khairy Jamalul Bahlul, Pak Le Lah dan Angkatan2nya mmg BoDo BaNGang, WOI RAKYAT MALAYSIA SEDARLAH anda sedang diJAHILkan utk kepentingan MEREKA!!!!!!
Tun,
I do agreed with some of the "wrongdoings" that everyone try to point at your 22 years leadership or that you might be racist.
However, one thing I cannot deny is that you are the best Prime Minister we ever have.
From your above article, you are still the best Prime Minister we ever have.
Thank you.
P/S: I wish someone like you can help us in the near future as I have no confidence in current PM, DPM and BN since you are gone.
Dear Tun,
I'm not an economist too, but i really understand what you had said. Thanks to Tun Razak for establishing FELDA. I can assure the 'peneroka' now can make at least RM 8,000.00 per month. Much better than the bank officer or even the personal asisstant to the PKR leader.
I dont know how are we going to attract foreign investors in the current political situations. Wish somebody like Muhyiddin could take over the PM post ASAP. Or wish you are still there.
"I will not say anything about the world as everyone knows and I know I am not an economist or a financial expert. But I will try and guess what would happen to Malaysia."
Ironic isn't it. Ada orang yang tak tahu malu tu asyik dok jual keliling kampong, akulah PM.
Dear Tun Dr.M,
Thnx for d insight..Appreciate ur view as usual..ur d 'ONE'..wat can I say...heheh..(,")
SAY NO TO NWO!!
Salam Tun,
"I do not know how much US Dollar bonds are held by Malaysia. I remember telling the Governor of Bank Negara to reduce our dollar holdings before I stepped down. I hope she has done so. Otherwise we would lose 80 Malaysian sen for every US Dollar we hold. When we hold 30 or 40 billion US Dollar the loss can be considerable."
I doubt she has done it. Up till now she's been silent and just harping on the said 5%-7% inflation.
Anyway, I read this article "http://www.worldfutures.info/Analysis/Analysis/Malaysia-Turkey-relationship-tense-in-Anwar-standoff.html", the author mentioned about Tun confession about wrongly jailed Anwar in 1998.
"Former Prime Minister Tun Mahathir Mohamad said the parties and the people should let the government handle the case since it is a new accusation against Anwar. During the electoral campaign in March 2008 Mahathir said, in a video statement addressing a crowd, that Anwar was jailed in 1998 for no apparent reasons. He added that it was a time when he was Prime Minister and he had the power to just grab Anwar and throw him in jail."
p.s. How about your bakery shops going? Saya tanya pemilik kedai mamak, dia ckp harga tepung ckp RRP tak guna, sbb retailers taknak jual harga RRP. Tp, dia terpaksa terima sbb kalau tak dia nak buat roti canai pakai apa? Hehe...
regards
salam Tun,
as usual a very detail, precise and fair judgment from you...
the current adminstration is what i like to summarise into a pantun below
kalau ada duit sekupang,
boleh beli cuka mentahun;
habis padi burung terbang,
ulat tidak kenangkan daun.
Dear TUN,
Good presentation on wide perpective of economic. That's why rakyat should understand and learn of our country fiscal policies.
For the coming election i wish that all our MPs wil debate on economic policy of the country as what has been done by rich countries. Thus it will enable us to understand better our country. As usual during our election campaign we keep pinning each other on scandals to win voters.
-Jinggo Rock-
Askum Ayahanda...
good information for us... Now Pak Lah know to burn the rakyat's money flying here n there....worse can to be worse....
Salam Tun,
This time around America memang betul-betul sudah kena. Malaysia should disassociate itself from USD because it is bringing difficulties to rakyat.
For the rakyat, this difficulties has provoked or induced cash saving mentality. Less spending and stop buy properties due to missmatch between income and expenses. Rakyat may think that the worst is not over and should sediakan payung sebelum hujan or prepare a life boat when the ship is about to sink.
Will history repeat itself or will it just rhythms ? In 1980s the effect of recession proves that properties prices will tumble and developer have difficulties to sell and price will then adjust itself to an acceptable level and missmatch between wages and expenses is gradually neutralised. But one element is still missing - in late 1970s - a scenario of very high interest rates dominate US. So, perhaps this time around - history does not repeat itself. It just rhythms along the path.
ASSALAMUALAIKUM TUN,
TERIMA KASIH ATAS PERINGATAN DAN NASIHAT TUN.
RAKYAT HARAP KERAJAAN DOLLAH AGAR DENGAR NASIHAT TUN.
KORANG NAK KAYA KER, NAK CANTAS MENCANTAS KER... NAK JADI PM PADA UMUR 40 TAHUN KER... APA2 KER... YANG PENTING JANGAN BIARKAN RAKYAT DI BAWAH NI SENGSARA...
INGAT LAGI REVOLUSI PERANCIS?? BILA RAKYAT SENGSARA... PADAH AKIBATNYA
Dear Tun,
We can simply deduce that Pak Lah just doesn't have the mental capacity to think outside the box. In this period of time when everybody is struggling to make ends meet, Pak Lah should be able to create something more constructive to reduce the burden of the rakyat in their daily life. Instead, we observe he is more or less at a lost how to counter or cushion the adverse effect of price escalation and higher cost of living to an almost unbearable situation for the rakyat. All his statements thus far were very superficial and not very convincing indeed. This is really a reflection of his lacking in leadership quality. To test whether a leader is dynamic is during the time of serious crisis. Now we are facing major economic and political crisis and it is proven that Pak Lah has failed in his responsibility to manage this crisis well. Such being the case, I think it is only fair for the rakyat to demand him to step down.
He is really a liability to the rakyat and he must admit this reality. He simply cannot carry on with his "flip flop" policies which are damaging the whole fabric of our political and economic standing. My sincere advice to Pak Lah is not to overstay his welcome and gracefully resign. That will be the most respectable thing to do instead of continuing to be a dreamer and in a state of denial, as if he could still turnaround his dwindling fate to be popular again. The time for him to "feel good" and to claim a "Mr Clean" image is over. The writing is clearly written on the wall that his handling of the current economic and political crisis is just haprak and HP6 !! Make no mistake about it.
Tun,
Excellent explanation. This is very true, though I'm glad the US economy going down so that we wont cling on them too much but still poor government administration makes the country drive straight into the chaos instead of steering away from it.
Bravo Tun. This country blessed by having you as a Malaysian.
Salam sejahtera kepada Tun sekeluarga. Moga rahmat Tuhan tak putus diberi kepada Tun.
Dear Tun,
Alway enjoy your thoughts.
After browsing the newspaper every morning your comments/thought process is a "must read" for me.
Please keep it up. What ever they say..you are our best PRIME MINISTER. We remember...immediately you become PM you are in action already..you synchronise the TIME for East & west Malaysia.
Badawi....3 year nothing happen...only songket. Then 4th year nearly loose the government.
Thank You
TUN yang di hormati dan di sayangi,
Satu kajian yang begitu baik dan bernas.
Memanglah kerajaan Malaysia sekarang ini seolah tidak berasa risau terhadap apa yang berlaku di dunia sekarang ini. Masalah ekonomi dan keuangan dunia.
Seolah kita dapat mengasingkan diri dari masalah yang menimpa dunia, seolah kita tidak akan mendapat keasan yang dashyat dari masalah dunia ini.
Ini kerana pemimpin kita masih tido, dengan limpahan rezki dari hasil bumi dan asset negara.
Dengan apa yang berlaku, Amerika akan mempertahankan apa yang dikatakan New World Oder(NWO)nya , juga apa yang di milikinya dengan apa cara sekali pun, dengan cara sedar atau tanpa disedari.
Kita harus berhati hati dengan kesan yang akan kita hadapi agar kerajaan tidak salah membuat keputusan yang merugikan rakyat dan negara. Jadi kerajaan harus memahami dan mengkaji apa sebenarnya yang sedang berlaku dan dipercaturkan oleh Amerika dan sekutunya. Salah percaturan, negara akan masuk perangkap mereka, rakyat yang akan menanggung akibat buruknya, pemimpin akan bertukar ganti, tapi kesannya tak tertanggung oleh rakyat hingga ke anak cucu.
DISINI LAH KERAJAAN YANG KUAT DAN PEMIMPIN YANG BIJAK DALAM MEMBUAT KEPUTUSAN PENTING.
JADI SAYA YAKIN, DENGAN KELEMAHAN PEMIMPIN PAK LAH & CO, NASIB RAKYAT TAK AKAN TERJAMIN DAN TERBELA.
MARILAH KITA SEMUA RAKYAT MENYOKONG KEMPEN PUTIH: MENGIBARKAN BENDERA DAN MEMAKAI RIBBON PUTIH. HARI INI JUGA.
Salam perjuanagan dari
-ashar-
Tun..tak takut ke komen-komen pedas pasai US, nanti dia orang sue kan susah....
Keep on writting and prevail the truth to the public.
TUN yang di hormati dan di sayangi,
Satu kajian yang begitu baik dan bernas.
Memanglah kerajaan Malaysia sekarang ini seolah tidak berasa risau terhadap apa yang berlaku di dunia sekarang ini. Masalah ekonomi dan keuangan dunia.
Seolah kita dapat mengasingkan diri dari masalah yang menimpa dunia, seolah kita tidak akan mendapat keasan yang dashyat dari masalah dunia ini.
Ini kerana pemimpin kita masih tido, dengan limpahan rezki dari hasil bumi dan asset negara.
Dengan apa yang berlaku, Amerika akan mempertahankan apa yang dikatakan New World Oder(NWO)nya , juga apa yang di milikinya dengan apa cara sekali pun, dengan cara sedar atau tanpa disedari.
Kita harus berhati hati dengan kesan yang akan kita hadapi agar kerajaan tidak salah membuat keputusan yang merugikan rakyat dan negara. Jadi kerajaan harus memahami dan mengkaji apa sebenarnya yang sedang berlaku dan dipercaturkan oleh Amerika dan sekutunya. Salah percaturan, negara akan masuk perangkap mereka, rakyat yang akan menanggung akibat buruknya, pemimpin akan bertukar ganti, tapi kesannya tak tertanggung oleh rakyat hingga ke anak cucu.
DISINI LAH KERAJAAN YANG KUAT DAN PEMIMPIN YANG BIJAK DALAM MEMBUAT KEPUTUSAN PENTING.
JADI SAYA YAKIN, DENGAN KELEMAHAN PEMIMPIN PAK LAH & CO, NASIB RAKYAT TAK AKAN TERJAMIN DAN TERBELA.
MARILAH KITA SEMUA RAKYAT MENYOKONG KEMPEN PUTIH: MENGIBARKAN BENDERA DAN MEMAKAI RIBBON PUTIH. HARI INI JUGA.
Salam perjuanagan dari
-ashar-
I hope that Malaysia prospers. Kesian rakyat yang miskin.
Raja Stokin
http://stokinwuduk.blogspot.com
Dear Tun,
A very simple and clear explanations indeed. We malaysian are missing Prime Minister with clear brain like you Sir,
But Sir, I beg to disagree with you that the USD will depreciate further. I am of the view that as of now the Euro is seriously overvalued and it will have to come down lower than 1.60 to the usd in the next 6 months to 1 year.
The world currency speculators are not going to push the Euro higher as that would be irrational exuberance. Even Soros in his interview recently said that the Euro is seriously overvalued.
Euro/USD was 0.85 in 2002 and 6 years later the rate is double.
What it means is that in a short period of 6 years the Euro is stronger by 100 percent. As the currency is the barometer of each country economic strength We are sure Euro Zone had not moving faster than the US by 100 percent in the last 6 years.
Therefore, I beg to differ with you on these subject but I 100 percent agreed that Datuk Seri Abdullah Badawi and his Cabinet are not catching up with the world scenario. And the worst act is to take the money from the men on the streets by reducing so called subsidy while in reality they are putting the money in the pockets of their cronies. As you said Sir, they have more money to bribe their supporters now. I saw 10 lorry load of them at Legend hotel last weekend. Dollah must go Sir. Otherwise, Jahanam Negara Kita Tun.
With Respect and highest regards to you Sir, Sawatdikrap.
YAbgh Tun,
I remember a quote saying:
Small people talk about things,
Average people talk about other people,
Great people talk about idea.
So, it's very clear that they are not as great as you. You have been talking about ideas. They are now busy talking about `rubbish'. They are not strong enough to `divert' the focus of rakyat from just politics to the world's reality. The reality should be our main concern now. We should prepare ourselves for the worse. We must be able to exploit the opportunities in hands. But, unforntunately, they are just damn incompetent.
Salam terhormat buat ayahanda Tun,
Setiap kali saya melawat ke blog ini maka semakin kagum saya dengan kebolehan Tun. Moga Allah kekalkan kelebihan ini disamping memanjangkan usia Tun dalam kesihatan.
Tun,
Saya membesar dan mendapat pendidikan dizaman kepimpinan Tun dan berasa bangga dan bersyukur atas kepimpinan dan ketokohan yang Allah kurniakan kepada bangsa Malaysia melalui Tun. Dan hari ini, saya percaya bahawa atas dasar kepimpinan inilah yang membuatkan Tun undur dari jawatan PM. Sedih buat rakyat tetapi saya yakin dengan bantuan Allah, Tun akan berjaya memastikan Malaysia sampai ke wawasannya pada tahun 2020.
Tun,
Satu kegusaran saya, kemanakah pelapis pemimpin rakyat malaysia? Kemanakah lagi orang yg berwawasan jauh seperti Tun sendiri? Apakah tiada usaha untuk melahirkan pemimpin ini? Harap Tun dapat memberi satu dua nasihat agar bangsa Malaysia dapat pegang demi untuk menjadi bangsa yang memimpin dunia.
salam kasih buat ayahanda Tun.
Dearest Dearest Tun
We sorely miss your leadership.
Doa kami untuk Tun terus sehat sejahtera disamping keluarga dan teman.
A very good analysis from you, Tun.
Indeed, the country is facing a very difficult challenge now. The government of Malaysia just cannot and should not handle things on adhoc basis if the country is going to make it safely through the world economic turmoil.
In my point of view, they need excellent thinkers, not politicians who always act like they know what to do when they don't really know what they are doing.
I repeat, not politicians who always act like they know what to do when they don't really know what they are doing.
Thinkers like you, Alhamdulillah, is a gift from Allah to those who are willing to appreciate.
Oh government of Malaysia, please stop being so arrogant. This country is not your plaything. It is not yours alone either. Acknowledge those with intelligence, experience, and expertise and seek advises from them.
Allah takkan mengubah nasib sesuatu kaum melainkan kaum itu sendiri yang mengubahnya. Ya Allah, please save my country from selfish and cruel leaders.
In addition to my previous comment, though Malaysia's export to US is 20%, but inflation is not restricted to US alone. We are facing global inflation.
This means, eventually global demand will reduce, and Malaysia's export in term of "quantity" to the rest of the world will reduce. We may lose a lot of information if we take into account only the total value of export (because inflation increase value of export of agricultural and oil and gas produce). Losing information will not help in seeing the problems of other sectors in Malaysia. Just like looking only at aggregate CPI will blindfold us from the problem in food related CPI.
This is a case scenario where winner takes all. The winner is natural resource producer. The loser is the rest other than natural resource producer - construction, manufacturing and the rest.
Next question that may prop up - Can this scenario be sustained by the other industrial sector ?
Dear Dr M and Readers,
I am a Malaysian born and bred here. I received tertiary education in a local university and strived hard for success, and in the end I acheived 1st Class honours, exempting me from paying PTPTN. (I am the last batch of students exempted under Mahathir Rule). Currently I am an engineer working in an MNC and I am still in Malaysia and I pay my taxes on time.
However, the recent stand of the goverment in increasing petrol prices has really taken its toll to the working class ppl especially graduates like me. How are we suppose to buy a house and raise a family if we could not even earn enough to pay for petrol, food, an other necessities?
There are times I wonder what is it to be a Malaysian. I could have just gone to Singapore and work there earning double or even triple the pay. And I don't mind at all paying taxes to the Singapore goverment, at least they take care of us by giving back in terms of safety, ease of transportation and better living standards. In short, the Brain Drain phenomena in Malaysia is not going to change unless the Government steps up to do something for the youths and its future generations.
The reason I am still here is that I hope Malaysia can really become a first world country with first class mentality citizens. I really hope that Malaysia is being steered that way. I hope Malaysia can protect me, while I contribute back to Malaysia with my knowledge and skill.
If not I believe young Malaysians like me will cease to call themselves Malaysians. I really hope the current government stops its "wayang", and focus more on pertinent issues plaguing the society, for I fear we will forever be a third world country being 'Yes Men" to the world superpowers if the current socioeconomic and political situation are left unchecked.
Thank you Dr. M, for your leadership and steering us in the right direction all this while. I pray for your good health and continued well being.
Salam Tok Det...
para pemimpin yang ada sekarang ni semua duk pikir macam mana nak memenuhkan kocek mereka, anak-beranak dan keturunan suku-sakat mereka semata-mata, mana ada masa nak pikir masalah rakyat yang semakin terhimpit..
SALAM TUN DAN KAWAN2,
1. Sekilas pandang sudah 5 tahun Pak Lah memerintah.
2. Dan sepanjang itulah juga tidak ada satu pembangunan yang nampak di mata kasar kita semua. Mana pergi perbelanjaan berbillion ringgit kerajaan Pak Lah.
3. Perbelanjaan RMK-9 sahaja RM200 billion,(minta tambahan pulak RM30billion)tetapi satu pun kita tidak nampak atau tidak ada yang boleh disebut seingat saya. Cuba anda fikirkan satu pembangunan sahaja..............................Tidak ada pun..
Saya rasa rakan2 sekalian juga sependapat saya.
4. Kalau TUN dapat bina EMPAYAR PETRONAS, Proton, bangunan KLCC, KL Tower, KLIA, LITAR SEPANG, bangunan pentadbiran PUTRAJAYA, PICC, LIMA, STAR dan PUTRA LRT (sekarang kepunyaan RAPID), MONOREL dan bermacam lagi yang boleh disebut dan tulis di sini dalam 22 tahun pentadbiran.
5. Tiada satu pun yang saya boleh tulis hasil perbelanjaan Pak Lah dalam 5 tahun. Dari situ pun dah nampak kelemahan terbesar Pak Lah.
6. Setelah kesilapan demi kesilapan yang dilakukan oleh pentadbiran kerajaan sekarang, tibalah masanya Pak Lah letak jawatan.
Harap anda semua dapat tandatangan petition online "Petition Online Meminta PM Malaysia Pak Lah Untuk Meletak Jawatan" dianjurkan dari laman web PetitionOnline.com, petition online tersebut percuma di:
http://www.PetitionOnline.com/PakLah/
Wasalam....
Selamat Petang
Alangkah baiknya kalau Tun boleh kembali sebagai wakil rakyat ,
sungguh pun Tun sepatut nya retired dan enjoy. Tapi demi kebaikan
negara saya berharap Tun akan kembali supaya dapat berganting bahu
dengan rakyat untuk menyelesaikan masaalah yang kita hadapi dan
mengekalkan prestasi ekonomi Malaysia.
Tentang pertanian , saya berpendapat bahawa usaha untuk membekal
bekalan makanan sampai 100% adalah penting dari segi strategik.Lihat
lah apa yang negara jepun bikin, mereka kekal mahu mengekalkan bekan
seratus peratus untuk beras walau pada kos yang sangat tinggi. Ada kala kos
perakaunan bukan lah hanya satu faktor dalam pengurusan Negara.
Menyelamatkan Syarikat Pekapalan adalah juga satu langkah yang bijak
dari segi strategi.Kalau kita ada pengakutan sendiri nescaya negara
tidak akan banyak bergantung kepada pengakutan negara
asing.Bergantung kepada pengakutan negara asing , akan
mempeletakan negara kita pada satu keadaan yang tak selamat ,misalnya pekerja
luar negeri mogol , hasil petroluem pun tak boleh dihanta
r untuk eksport.Tun bijak sangat kerana ada menyediakan payung
sebelum hujan dan tidak mengorek perigi hanya pada saat rasa daharga.
Tidak diperdaya oleh interntanational Money Fund.
Saya tersangat yakin yang Tun masih dapat memberi sumbangan besar
dalam memajukan ekonomi Malaysia.
Sekian terima kasih
HOHO
Assalamualaikum Tun,
This topic subject is very fascinating. But for me I think that going for agricultural sectors is not a bad idea because in agricultural sectors we can be self-reliance since we have all the natural resources and the required resources for the sectors to be developed except the lack of technologies and applications for the low-income farmers in our country. Hi-tech sector is indeed good because we can attract foreign investors and business operations and industries to be created for more job opportunities with generating more profits by rolling the currencies of their money in our country.
Our country is full all the the resources which other developed countries do not even possess (China, US, Britain, etc.). By diversifying our country into agricultural sectors, our country have more opportunity in increasing the food production of our country which indeed is never seen to fulfill the requirement in our country during decades ago. We still need to rely on import products to fulfill the citizens needs. But on the other side, more job vacancies is available and more business opportunity can be created, foreign companies which involved in food production and agriculture might put their interest in generating their profits in our country. From this the government could ask for tax paying and also royalty payment which will be beneficial.
Confidence in the consistency of Government policies and political stability would be among the factors attractive to business and investment in our country. But with today's political stand in our country which is a little bit destabilize causing the local investors to make profit in foreign countries instead in roling their money in the country.
However, I do believe that current government decision in focusing to develop agricultural sectors is not bad as this could increase the income in alternative ways either. Of course for the previous leadership high-tech is focused. Diversifying the country in agricultural sectors is going to benefit the country in the long term. Perhaps someday our country could someday become big producers of food production in meat productions like New Zealand and; why not in high value commercial commodities like oil palm plantation, rubber plantation, cocos and coconut in the coming future.
Splendid views and opinion Tun. I would like to hear from you some other new posting soon.
Sir,
Thank you for giving an excellent analysis that the Malaysian need. I have always salute you on your knowledge and opinion. We really hope that the current govt could be in good term with you and advise the current govt on the current M'sia economic situation to them.
May god bless you and do take care of your health.
salam ayahanda Tun,
selamat tengahari,
satu lagi tulisan drpd ayahanda tun yang dapat serba sedikit menjadi suapan minda kita semua.
amat mengkagumkan ayahanda tun masih memandang jauh kehadapan arah tuju negara yang tercinta!
seperti Visi 2020, ayahanda tun masih menyumbang kepada nusa dan bangsa!
semoga ayahanda tun sihat dan dimurahkan rezeki.
wassalam
askm Tun
When i was performing haj in Makkah in 2005 i had a fellow haj from Pakistan who happen to be one of the Pakistan government officer. During our lengthy discussion on regional and our respective country economic performances he was all awe about Malaysia progress and wish that Tun is their leader instead of H.E. Musharraf. Recently i had a chance to meet an old banker friend from Indonesia and he likens our current rakyat difficulties with that of Indonesia.That whats happen when the country is run by politically incompetent person according to him.I totally agreed.
Wish you were still there helming MALAYSIA eventhough you had your share of the blame in the past. But this Pak Lah is totally nuts.. !
Very informative. Keep up sir.
Salam my dearest Tun,
Take a breather from this endless wordly bother. This song by Oasis I would like to dedicate to you as the song is you.Enjoy.
Wonderwall-OASIS
Today is gonna be the day
That they're gonna throw it back to you
By now you should've somehow
Realized what you gotta do
I don't believe that anybody
Feels the way I do about you now
Backbeat the word was on the street
That the fire in your heart is out
I'm sure you've heard it all before
But you never really had a doubt
I don't believe that anybody feels
The way I do about you now
And all the roads we have to walk along are winding
And all the lights that lead us there are blinding
There are many things that I would
Like to say to you
I don't know how
Because maybe
You're gonna be the one who saves me ?
And after all
You're my wonderwall
Today was gonna be the day?
But they'll never throw it back to you
By now you should've somehow
Realized what you're not to do
I don't believe that anybody
Feels the way I do
About you now
And all the roads that lead you there were winding
And all the lights that light the way are blinding
There are many things that I would like to say to you
I don't know how
I said maybe
You're gonna be the one who saves me ?
And after all
You're my wonderwall
I said maybe
You're gonna be the one who saves me ?
And after an
You're my wonderwall
Said maybe
You're gonna be the one that saves me
You're gonna be the one that saves me
You're gonna be the one that saves me
And For AAB : The song I Don't Love You by MCR I dedicate..
Tun,
I wish you still my PM.
Thanks for the info Tun..Hopefully, more will take your advice to help us all enjoy this country for a long long time.
Dear Tun,
I have been reading your articles for quiet sometime. But today's article is very interesting and most important to me is that I feel that I am in one of your high profile cabinet meeting discussing about the current problem of our beloved country Malaysia. I supposed if you are still PM the rakyat can't have this thought freely of for free. Today I started signing for your blog and can't resist to read your view and make minute praise or comment.
Hope Tun can give more of your view and thought to us Malaysian.
Anyone agree with me? Thanks Tun.
Salam Sejahtera Tun..
Diharap Tun dapat memberi komen tentang kes Anwar Ibrahim dahulu dan sekarang. (KES LIWAT)
Thanks & Regards.
A'kum Tun,
pendapat tun mmg bernas skali, u r such a great leader for us...compare to now...too much different...hope u can help us to fix it back...!!!
tq
Salam Tun,
Yesterday news was a shock where one of Japanese Company (was 19 years operated in Malaysia) had shut down their operation from Malaysia....One of the sign that Malaysian will lose support from Japan and Korea...if these continues to happen then Malaysian Economics become Zero......and no more 2020 vision...
Tahniah kepada
Ashar - kempen PUTIH - sokong Tun
Malayjessyjames - surat pada Raja - siasat kerajaan
MAJ (B) RAHMAN M.A - parti baru - dipimpin oleh Tun
Semoga cadangan2 yang dihasilkan merupakan langkah kehadapan
Dear Tun,
Excellent article!! You've a very SHARP MIND..its very rare to have someone like you-to be able to write something informative to share with others, eventhough you are not an economist- but perhaps better than our government's economist.
Sometime I wonder, how to achieve such level as yours? Anyway, regarding about our current economy situation- I must admit that Ive no argument with you TUN. What you have said, its a true FACTS. And people cannot deny it..
But sadly our current government still in the state of denial. Maybe they knew what you said is right, but due to their EGO characteristic- they choose to be in denial mode. Same goes to the so call PAKATAN RAKYAT. None of the PAKATAN administration has the capability like you do. Well maybe there are some that are good- but not to the extand of your level TUN.
From my personal view, I think Malaysia should now focus on developing technology and infrastucture. And at the same time enhance our agricultural product also, as we are good at it too. Building up human capital (as what AAB introduced) can benefit the country- provided we change our attitude.
UMNO should now realised, and start to work their *** out in order to retain in power. People do still believe in Barisan, I dont think PAKATAN can gurantee peaceful and happy country. I think PAKATAN will be the one that causes RACISM!! When i read their blog is all not informative- is all baseless allegations- and they try to implement/influence hatred towards the Malay in legal way.
Should PAKATAN win..then only the ALL MIGHTY that can help us. Should Barisan retain with the current leader- then May our Great Lord(ALLAH) have mercy on us too.
BARISAN really need good/dinamic/young/capable people to run the government(Msia). Im pretty sure there are many good people in BARISAN..please reveal yourself..step up and construct better government!!
Assalamualaikum Tun,
Saya anggap Tun juga adalah ahli ekonomi. Malahan pada krisis kewangan yang lalu, malaysia telah dapat mengatasinya dengan selesa.... kita orang semua happy tau......
Tapi pemimpin yang ada hari ini seakan melupakan zaman kecemerlangan Tun memimpin malaysia. Mereka da sombong dan angkuh dengan slogan kosong cemerlang, gemilang, terbilang yang tidak membawa maksud makna apa-apa.... Allah sahaja satu-satuNya yang terbilang..... Pada PRU12 mereka telah diturunkan bala kerana angkuh, mereka patut bertaubat dan meletak jawatan kerana dosa mereka.
Apa cara kita bertindak untuk menukar keadaan ini? kami sentiasa sokong Tun, semoga Tun sentiasa sihat.
Assalamualaikum tun,
penjelasan yang bernas seperti biasa. saya kagum dengan cara tun berfikir, mendalam dan berpandangan jauh. tun sering berfikir bagaimana sesuatu keadaan itu boleh menjadi tersangat buruk. sehinggakan dulu, negara dapat bersedia dalam apa keadaan yang bakal berlaku sekalipun.
sekarang ahli politik sibuk dengan politik mereka. lepas satu isu, isu yang lain pulak timbul. dewan rakyat bukan lagi jadi tempat untuk membincangkan masalah rakyat tetapi sudah menjadi tempat perdebatan politik. yang bn mengatakan pr salah, yang pr mengatakan bn salah. jadi siapa yang salah sebenarnya? tapi sesungguhnya bukan tugas mereka untuk menilai siapa yang salah bila sesuatu masalah itu timbul, tempat yang harus dilakukan adalah mencari penyelesaian bersama untuk masalah yang berlaku.
pak lah dan kabinetnya pulak, asyik memberikan penyelesaian 'jangka pendek' kepada rakyat. tidak pernah dipikirkan perancangan yang betul2 kukuh.sebagai contoh menggalakkan pemasangan ngv, tapi bukankah ngv itu lebih mahal sebenarnya. gaji 2 bulan sekali, adakah itu lebih bermanfaat untuk rakyat atau lebih bermanfaat untuk kerajaan? sekarang pulak menggalakkan pertanian di halaman rumah, memang itu bagus tapi itu seperti kembali ke mentalti orang melayu yang dahulu dengan ekonomi sara dirinya. kakitangan kerajaan pulak boleh bekerja sambilan, bukankah ini dapat menurunkan prestasi kerja mereka?
saya betul2 berharap pihak kerajaan dapat mengambil input dari apa yang tun katakan untuk membangun ekonomi negara kita. janganlah kerajaan menjadi seperti pepatah melayu 'sudah tersesat jalan, malu pulak bertanya arah'. janganlah kerajaan berterusan dengan ego mereka yang sentiasa menganggap diri mereka benar. cubalah tanya pendapat dengan orang yang sudah berpengalaman.
apepun saya harap, tun teruskanlah menulis. cara pemikiran tun memang tiada tolok bandingnya.saya doakan tun sekeluarga sihat walafiat dan dipanjangkan umur.May Allah bless you.
~La Motion C'Est La Vie~
Wassalam...
Salam to Tun and all supporter of Chedet,
I sincelly hope that Pak Lah and his Cabinet colleague including the economic planner of this country take note and take time to do indepth study on the comment by Tun Dr Mathir . Take this as "seminar paper" and do discuss among yourself. he has given you all a free lesson and coming from very experiance Prime Minister with good track recort and proven his capabality beyond doubt and because he has no vested interes except for his love and care of this "bumi bertuah" and very concern the way this country is going to the dog.Nothing wrong , please have a discussion dont be inferior if you need to change do so. Do something before it get worse. Is good to remind each other .Berpesan pesan antara satu dengan lain adalah di tuntut dalam Islam. Good luck to the implimantor.
Thank Tun and please make more comment on the current situation for the good of this country, but what ever it is Pak Lah must go and then KJ will also goes and the 4th Floor goes aswell, than we can at least hope for a better goverment who does not flip flop, and sleep at his job.
Ya Allah yang maha pengasihn lagi maha penyang peliharalah Negara kami yang tercinta, dan demi masa depan anak cucu kami. Amin ya rabill alamin.
Tun take good care of yourself n Allah bless you.
I wouldn’t say that the current government is confident of our economic situation, it probably just that our Prime Minister is sleeping during all the meetings. When he is not sleeping he is busy flip-flopping and play politicking with his SIL or his three badut. I also doubt that the present government will take heed to anything that you said so far. They would rather destroy the country and make the rakyat suffer than to admit help from you. That’s how ego they are.
Moving backward to agricultural country is Pak Lah’s way of showing the people that he can do better than you. The one that suffer the most from this stupid move is the younger generation. They will be deprived of the global change towards technological advancement. Those graduated in technological skill will find it hard to get a job because no new opportunities being created since the government is promoting agricultural development.
As a result, no real development being done in the last five years since Pak Lah take over Premiership from you. And frankly I don’t see any brilliant plan being formularise that would benefit the general people. All the development plans the current government promote only benefit certain people. These people will not be affected by the coming economic turmoil. Their purse is fat no matter what.
What I am concern is that the people are being blanketed from what is coming. The general is not aware of the seriousness of the coming economic episode. How bad would it be? We have had a bad case before ten years back. Even then when other countries were in a state of panic, the situation does not affect us much. We have a strong economic growth history. Why should it be different this time? But we must not forget last time we have you at the helm string, now we have the lame sleepy Pak Lah the flip-flop. It would be different this time. The people will get their first hand experience of how bad the situation really is. I wish that you will still be there to help us overcoming the hardship. I read the writing of Nor Mohamed Yakcob of how you overcome the 1997-98 financial crisis. You sir have my uttermost respect.
My family and I would like to thank you for what you have done during your premiership. Without you we would probably still be riding bicycle and tanam sayur (like Pak Lah ask us to do).
Tun always think economy in macro way, sadly Abdullah always think (if he does) economy in a microscopic way i.e. only for his son, son-in-law way.
Be prepared for the worst, but Abdullah, Kamaluddin and Khairy are preparing to migrate... guess which country?
Bravo Tun,
Tepat,rengkas,padat dan penuh dengan lojik yang mudah diterima akal bagi yang berakal. Kalau DSAI yg bercita cita besar nak jadi PM bolih ke buat home work macam ini? Itulah kalau nafsu dah tak terkawal semua orang yang dipersalahkan,tak ada dalam fikiran nak memajukan Malaysia tapi asyik nak mengaitkan semua orang bersalah.Fikir fikirkanlah wahai rakyat Malaysia. Paklah..apa macam?ada nampak kah? Buka hati sikit YAB Paklah..jangan malu,tak bolih cakap tak bolih,kami faham.Undurlah dengan cara terhormat,kami faham.
Cara Tun menyampaikan message ini patut juga dikaji dan diedarkan kepada student kita baik di dalam mahu pun diluar agar akan ujud `Mahathir` second generation pewaris pemikir agong melayu.
salam.
Assalmualaikum Tun,
Berdasarkan kepada keterangan Tun ini, adalah tidak wajar sama sekali kerajaan menaikkan harga minyak yang amat membebankan rakyat.
Alasan kerajaan terpaksa menanggung subsidi yang tinggi hanya relevan digunakan kepada mereka yang tidak membaca blog Tun. Kesian mereka..ya Tun..selalu terpedaya dengan alasan 'rubbish'(sekadar memimjam kata-kata seorang ahli politik di kaca tv baru-baru ini).
Kepada blogger2 yang sentiasa melayari blog Tun, anda adalah antara yang bertuah termasuklah juga Antimamak.
Undian terhadap 3 isu utama sedang dijalankan di blog http://kelabpenyokongtdm.blogspot.com (blog khas diwujudkan hanya untuk membuat undian terhadap isu-isu yang dibangkitkan di blog Tun ini) iaitu :-
1) Kempen riben dan bendera putih
2) Warna riben dan bendera
3) Penubuhan parti baru oleh TDM
Untuk blogger2 yang menyokong dan sentiasa dibelakang Tun, sila buat undian anda dan keputusan undian akan dimaklumkan kepada Tun disini.
Sekian.
http://kelabpenyokongtdm.blogspot.com
Asm Tun,
Preparing for the worst is good because the worst always happen sooner or later. The present administrators don't seem to be able to lay the foundation for the next 'economic wave'. When the old practice of generating national income cannot work anymore, the defence economic mechanism will be exposed to the various threats. In the age of 'fragile economy', the resilience need to be built and defended by the government. Resilience can be built by investing in new technology, knowledge, expertise and investing in various emerging countries and not solely dependent on any fragile factor.
The present admin doesn't seem to be able to manage current situation, let alone think ahead for the betterment of people. The basics also in chaos. In such situation, one can only think of oneself only.
Assalamualaikum Tun and all,
I believe, Pak Lah already realized this reality. However, out of his ignorance, he refused to accept the fact that his reign is dooming us all. Instead, he keeps on doing baseless and useless acts just to make his own mark in Malaysia's history and not following Tun's footsteps/way of thinking. One thing's for sure, Malaysian will always remember how Pak Lah's family benefited from his post as PM, and how he has made Malaysia doomed. Bapa Kemusnahan Malaysia!
p/s: very amusing to see how DSAI handled his case. even if he is innocent(unlikely), he shouldn't have fled and seek refuge from other country's vicinity. it shows how unfit he is to become PM, a coward, a snitch, etc. perhaps this is one of his way to be back in prison, where he can have more amusing activities, surrounded with more men...
Tun,
What happen to Malaysia now is due to wrong selection of leaders. These leaders are not qualified and are not thinking man like you. They are more concern about holding to their job or position more then running the country. If you read or watch in TV what the CEO of Petronas conflicting himself about Malaysia been a net exporter of petroleum comment is a good example of pure stupidity. We need new leaders with Tun as mastermind again.
Long live Malaysia
Tun,
Today is a truly challenging age. In order to survive it is not enough just to have an education. It has to be lifelong education and on as wide a plateau as possible.
Today's government is made of people who either has the education or they do not. The chances are they could not afford to. Either they came up in politics due to old party manner or due to cronysm.
The smart and expert professionals hardly get a chance to be heard among the inner and higher circles. If by chance they happen to have a minute with the PM as the man who matters, they still have a long way to go before their ideas finally make sense.
The government machinery is supposed to filter great ideas and know how to the top for it to become workable policies. That takes a long time if it ever gets through.
We have to open up the governmental process and cut out red tape. We have to use the interactive web for people to reach the right spots and that means a very flatten government. There should be electronic polling on ideas and discussions. The government must lead the way.
There is lots more to do before there is true transparency and facilitation of the right ideas to the places. People do matter but only as a people but not as a government. The ruling elite must be removed and in its place a set of mecahnistic policies.
Politics and governence must not be about personalities anymore. It must be about service and delivery of service.
Redhuan D. Oon
padi-malaysia
Kehadapan YAB Tun dan keluarga,
Membaca article Tun pada kali ini membuatkan saya berasa takut untuk melihat apa yg akan berlaku pada negara ini di masa hadapan sekiranya kerajaan tidak membuat plan tindakan untuk berhadapan dengan segala kemungkinan yg bakal kita hadapi ini. Kerajaan sekarang sepatutnya lebih effektif dalam menangani masalah dalaman negara dan menyelesaikannya dengan opsyen yg terbaik. Namun yg kita lihat sekarang ini amat mengecewakan. Keadaan ekonomi negara walaupun pada masa ini kerajaan mengatakan ianya dalam keadaan stabil dan terkawal, tapi kita dapat rasakan bahawa ekonomi negara juga dalam keadaan berkecamuk dan terumbang-ambing dengan masa hadapannya. Dengan kenaikkan harga minyak yg mendadak dan disusuli dengan kenaikkan harga keperluan asas yg lain akibat daripada peningkatan kos operasi pengeluar... disulami dengan kenaikkan harga makanan ruji masyarakat dan sekaligus peningkatan kos sara hidup yg membebankan kepada masyarakat yg berpendapatan rendah dan sederhana. Tapi tidak pula disudahi dengan kenaikkan gaji dalam sektor awam mahupun sektor swasta. Bagaimana rakyat mahu berhadapan dengan semua permasalahan ini? Bukannya kita mahukan kerajaan kita jatuh tersungkur, kita cuma mahukan kerajaan can come up with something brilliant that can minimize the rakyat burden.
Dengan permasalahan dalam sektor ekomomi yg membebankan rakyat, kita juga berhadapan dengan suasana keretakkan kaum yg sememangnya melemaskan dan tidak mendatangkan apa-apa faedah kepada negara. Dimanakah kempen kita selama 46 tahun ini untuk mengeratkan perpaduan kaum yg hancur dalam masa 5 tahun sahaja? Perpaduan kaum negara ini merupakan contoh kepada negara-negara berbilang kaum yg lain dimana kita dapat hidup bersama tanpa ada ketegangan kaum serta dapat hidup dalam satu suasana harmoni. Permuafakatan masyarakat dalam Malaysia begitu utuh sehinggakan ada negara luar yg datang ke negara kita hanya mahu mengkaji formula, stretegi dan teknik yg kita gunakan untuk mengekalkan perpaduan kaum. Perpaduan kaum juga merupakan identiti negara ini suatu masa dahulu dan sekarang. Namun apa yg kita lihat sekarang, perselisihan faham diantara kaum semakin menjadi-jadi dan dimarakkan lagi dengan forum yg dijalankan baru-baru ini. Kenapakah kita mahu melihat dan memikirkan tentang negara lain sedangkan Malaysia mempunyai identitinya sendiri dan disanjungi diseluruh dunia suatu masa dahulu. Apa yg patut kita lakukan ialah mengekalkan perpaduan ini seerat-eratnya supaya kita dapat bersama-sama menjaga dan mempertahankan negara kita ini. Mahukah kita melihat timbul lagi tregedi 13 Mei yg menjadi satu sejarah hitam pada kita dahulu? Sudah tentu kita tidak mahu kembali ke zaman itu dan cara yg paling baik ialah keep looking and moving forward.
Apa yg dapat kita lihat sekarang dalam sistem pemerintahan negara kita ialah terlalu ramai yg berpolitik dan kurang yg benar-benar menjalankan tugas, sangat kurang jumlahya yg memikirkan tentang nasib rakyat. Sehinggakan dalam mesyuarat dewan parlimen juga kita dapat lihat perkara-perkara yg remeh-temeh pulak yg mendapat sambutan dan membuatkan dewan riuh seperti suasana di pasar ikan. Ada juga diantaranya meggunakan kedudukan mereka untuk mempromosi diri sedangkan kerja yg dibuat tidak seberapa. Kita mahukan barisan pemimpin dan kabinet yg berkemampuan dalam menjalankan tugas dan berwawasan jauh untuk membawa negara ke tahap yg lebih baik dan maju. Kerajaan sekarang ini kalau dilihat, masih melakukan tugas mereka namun agak lembab dan bercelaru. Ada baiknya kalau dibuat rombakan atau pemilihan barisan bertindak yg lebih baik untuk membawa negara ke arah yg lebih dinamik.
Marilah kita bersatu dan berjuang untuk memelihara AGAMA, BANGSA dan NEGARA agar kita tidak dijajah semula dan memohon agar perjuangan ini direstui oleh ALLAH SWT. Amin.
Salam TUN and FAMILI, SEMOGA DLM KEADAAN SIHAT N DIPANJANGKAN USIA.
ALLAH MAHA ESA N SKNG DAH TUNJUK YG TUN BKN WAT NIAYA DKT ANWAR. AWAT ANWAR X PLAK BABITKAN TUN DLM KES NI. SURUH DIA CONSULT ZAID IBRAHIM KOT2 ADE APA2 BLH BABITKAN TUN LAGI. MALAYSIA SKNG KAN ADE MENTERI HAKIM YG DIDAPATI BERSALAH POLITIK WANG N DI GANTUNG KEAHLIAN UMNO,PAS TU PAK LAH MEGAH LANTIK DIA JD MENTERI. APA PUNYA CLASS PAK LAH. MCM TUN BGTAW LA HERET TUN KE MAHKAMAH BARU ADIL. NI DOK CKP OR WAT CITER2.
TUN RAMAI NAK KUAR UMNO, TP SUSAH KERANA NAK WAT SURAT. CUBA TUN BUKA PARTI BARU N JD PENASIHAT. RAMAI AKAN JOIN N TINGAL LA ORG2 YG ADE KEPENTINGAN DLM UMNO. SO MAT TAIB AKAN WAT PRESS STATEMENT YG KAMI TETAP SOKONG PAK LAH. ORG X BENCI UMNO CUMA MELUAT DGN KEPIMPINAN UMNO SKNG.
DULU KINI N SELAMA2 NYA BERSAMA TUN. BKN TAKSUB DGN TUN TP SEBAB KEPIMPINAN TUN NYATA GEMILANG, CERMERLANG N TERBILANG. SLOGAN NI X PATUT PAK LAH GUNA.
WASSALAM
I was in Berlin in 2004 to have my art exhibition there for 3 weeks. I met many people, German, Turks, Palestinian, Lebanese, Russian and etc. on the street. They asked me where I came from. Malaysia, I told them. Mahadhir, they responded spontaneously. You and the country I love were synonymous. You were great and I was so proud to be a Malaysian then. But now Sir, I feel so embarrassed to be a Malaysian under AAB. I presume nobody bothers to know him.
HasJebat
Salam Tun,
Why Pak Lah is so stupid and greedy? Why must he play a dirty trick to stop Najib from contesting for the No.1 post?
Pak Lah trying hard to divert the attention from the real problem that is the rising cost of food and fuel and its effect in the near future.
Please step down. I have very little patience left with me. We Malaysian are really fed up with Pak Lah. TURUNLAH PAK LAH
Tun you are not suppose to retired so soon, Malaysia future will seem so bright if still under ur hand compared with nowadays our country by conquer by evil pride dictator Barisan.. Those pride dictator now still behave like they are king of king, good their mistake and wrongdoing we nation have to paid the price thanks to those who vote for Barisan Pak Lah and Family cronies!!
Let us all face the critical that are coming soon bcos Malaysia will going to face economy crisis soon even now those minister still can pridely said they are to strong government fund is strong by all this incoming profit..
Under ruling of UMNO nows its impossible for those corruption and non-wisdom minister will able to handle this matter well compare to TUN at last time..
UMNO really pride pride pride this will lead they fall soon and history will prove to us..
Salam Ayahanda Tun. When the present Prime Minister went out loud saying much goodness on our present state of economy, little of this makes much sense to the rakyat in the “real world”. What would 5, 6 or 7% inflation means to a taxi driver who has 6 mouths to feed? What would minimal deficit means to a clerk whose take home pay is barely RM1, 500 a month with rents and loan payments to keep up with? Nothing I say. All this numbers failed to impress when just about everything on the market went double or triple and even 100% over the price it used to be. Profiteering as mentioned by Tun is another perturbing issue that actually defines our general economic span here in Malaysia these days. I somehow believe that it’s not the market forces that’s the prime benchmark in pricing, but its greed forces that actually does the job. The government has countless of mechanisms and organizations at their disposal to address this matter drastically, but they seem to be keeping complacent about things as it is, moreover should preventive mechanism such as price control be removed, it would send profiteers smiling all the way to the banks and leaving the rakyat to suffer the worst. On another note, I strongly believe now to be the right of time to push for global gold-dinar trading instead of just USD as once suggested by Tun.
Assakamu’alikum Tun Mahadhir,
I was in Berlin in 2004 to have my art exhibition there for 3 weeks. I met many people, German, Turks, Palestinians, Lebanese, Russian and etc. on the street. They asked me where I came from. Malaysia, I told them. Mahadhir, they responded spontaneously. You and the country I love were synonymous. You were great and I was so proud to be a Malaysian then. But now Sir, I feel so embarrassed to be a Malaysian under AAB. I presume nobody bothers to know him.
May Allah Bless upon You.
HasJebat
Dearest Tun, We really salute you. Once again a very big THANK YOU for this superb enlightenment.
An incident still fresh in my mind though : "ini bermakna rakyat sokong kami" said by this Doll-Lah during his TV appearence (and that almost made me VOMIT), after the vote of BN (barang naik) was tabled.
Honourable Tun how actually shall we deal with these type of shamless, incompetent and useless Jokers up there PLEASE?
wE HAVE HAD ENOUGH...AAARRRGHHHHH.
Salam Tun and Family.
Dear Tun,
You are one of the best leader that Malaysia has ever had. Unfortunately, your successor, Bodowi cannot imitate your ideas, visions and credibility. Our current PM asked us to cultivate more plants or vegetables around our house in order to help us economically. What a stup.d idea. This will not help us. Our stup.d PM wants Malaysia to be known as agriculture country. As far as I know, non of the developed countries in the world are agriculture based. All of them are industrial based. Oh PM, pls open up your small world to the reality of a much bigger world. If you can't, then might as well you quit..
this is very brilliant analysis. the government main priority now is to save pak lah rather than saving the country.
we pray that malaysia will sustain thru bad time like it was sustaining during your time.
Salam Tun,
Artikel, analysis dan pendapat yang amat logik dan berpegetahuan. Apa yang menghairankan saya kenapa Pihak Kerajaan, sehingga kini masih mendiamkan diri. MENGAPA SUNYI TANPA BERITA?
Apakah dengan mendiamkan diri, meanandakan tanda SETUJU ataupun pihak Kerajaan berpendapat Tun hanya cakap dan tulis yang bukan bukan? Mungkin MALAS NAK LAYAN!
Walau apa pun, saya berharap pihak Kerajaan dapat menberi pengesahan dan pendapat kepada artikel artikel Tun.
Seandainya tiada penjelasan dan respon dari pihak Kerajaan, maka memang benar dan munasabah apa yang diketarakan oleh TUN.
I think Pak Lah purposely change from industrial country to agro country coz he wants to cover his family target. Since our country ada banyak resources, maka dengan mudahnya Pak Lah and family nak pilih source yang cepat kaya.
La ni nampak Pak Lah sedang mengunakan authority beliau as PM before kena kick.
Huhu.. dulu Tun suruh kita belajar, sekarang ni ilmu tu bantu kita menilai antara permata dan kaca.
Slm Tun,
Nukilan yang amat tepat dan padat..susah nak cari pemimpin yang boleh berfikir mcm Tun..
i learned a lot from your blog Tun,reading your view and thought and bloggers comments...dlm tak sedar,my english is also improving..
i wish you still our PM...
take care and a lot of people love you...
Tun,
I am not an economist but you can look at ordinary people shares ASN dropping down day by day.We are going to repeat the 1987, 1997 economic crises if the Government could not have a strong grip over the situation. Tun, we need your kind advisory help urgently to sail through this coming hardships.TQ
Dear Tun,
Strongly agree with you on the current turmoil face by countries around the world. The best will survise and others will suffer like the rest. Sad to say, our country has not done enough. It might just a begining but matter of time things will get worst economically and socially.
TO add salt to the wound, the malaysia politic is in dissasterious state at the moment as it was not tackled amicably right after last election. It seems that political turmoil over shadowed the economy's.
Dearest Tun,
Strongly agree with you on the current turmoil face by countries around th